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How can people live and work together?

Start with the big picture. Open the sections below to see the evidence and future goals.

10/100Comparison scoreAn editorial model, not a scientific grade.
5Milestones to exploreA mix of capabilities and future goals.
2Linked measurementsOpen a measurement for its source and date.
Galactic Index SCORE
10/100Index weight 10
REFERENCE MEASURE

81 yrs · Age of the widest human institution
United Nations age; editorial target: 12,000 years

Steps toward the future

Explore the milestone ladder
  1. doneA global forum for all states1945LEVEL 2
  2. nextNo interstate warscurrently 8LEVEL 2
  3. farUnited EarthCooperative barLEVEL 4
  4. farA polity stable for a thousand yearsLEVEL 4
  5. farGalaxy-scale institutions and recovery planningLEVEL 4

Human dimensions

Meaning & spirituality ↗ · Knowledge, heritage & community ↗

Related measures within Humanity.

POSSIBLE ROUTE FORWARD

Action path

2027–2035Editorial horizon

This near-term path is shared with the corresponding Cooperative track.

TARGET

Level 2: zero interstate wars; warheads below 5,000

Explore the possible steps

Possible steps

  1. End the largest war: Russia–Ukraine is ~62% of battle deaths
  2. Rebuild arms control: a US–Russia cap and a first framework including China
  3. Coalitions with teeth on specific problems (fusion, pandemics, AI verification)
  4. Interdependence deep enough that war is unaffordable
THE CRUX · DECISION POINT

Whether general AI arrives into a world that has built verification and coordination capacity, or one that has not

IF THE MAINLINE STALLS

Unconventional levers: AI-assisted verification and satellite monitoring, conflict early-warning markets

What to watch

UCDP interstate conflict count; SIPRI deployed warheads; states party to any new arms-control instrument

Related snapshot measures

These are the available measures in the supplied dataset; they may be proxies for the leading indicators above.

The critical path. Moving Peace from 0.20 to 0.40 lifts F more than finishing AI.

A scenario from the supplied handoff, not a prediction or professional advice.

Sourced indicators / 2

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Reported fact

A number from a named source. Check when, where and what it measures.

Model or score

A way to compare things using chosen rules. Different rules can give different scores.

Future goal or scenario

Something we hope to achieve, or imagine might happen. It is not a measured fact.

Milestone
An important step toward a goal.
Indicator
A measurement that helps us understand something.
Dependency
Something that may need help from something else.
Biodiversity
The variety of living things.
GW
Gigawatts: a unit of power. Capacity is what equipment can produce at its rated output.