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Quantum & Frontier Physics

Advanced physics and speculative transport

What can we learn about matter and energy?

Start with the big picture. Open the sections below to see the evidence and future goals.

12/100Comparison scoreAn editorial model, not a scientific grade.
6Milestones to exploreA mix of capabilities and future goals.
3Linked measurementsOpen a measurement for its source and date.
Cooperative Index SCORE
12/100Index weight 5

Progress Scale progress

40% toward Level 2Dependency weight 4
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REFERENCE MEASURE

96 · Largest logical-qubit system
QuEra, Jan 2026

Steps toward the future

Explore the milestone ladder
  1. doneQuantum error correction below threshold (Google Willow)Dec 2024LEVEL 2
  2. done~100 logical qubits2026LEVEL 2
  3. nextFirst fault-tolerant module (IBM Kookaburra)2026LEVEL 2
  4. planned200 logical qubits, 100M gates (IBM Starling)2029LEVEL 3
  5. farRoom-temperature superconductornone verifiedLEVEL 4
  6. farSpeculative matter transportphysics unclearLEVEL 4
POSSIBLE ROUTE FORWARD

Action path

2026–2029Editorial horizon
TARGET

Level 2: first fault-tolerant module

Explore the possible steps

Possible steps

  1. IBM Kookaburra module (2026)
  2. Neutral-atom and trapped-ion systems reach hundreds of error-corrected qubits
  3. IBM Starling: 200 logical qubits (2029)
  4. First quantum advantage on a chemistry problem
THE CRUX · DECISION POINT

A useful problem solved with error-corrected qubits that classical machines cannot match

IF THE MAINLINE STALLS

A decoder or materials breakthrough shortens the roadmap; otherwise this track follows published roadmaps closely

What to watch

Logical qubit count with error rate; first published chemistry advantage

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