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Cooperative Index / DOMAIN

Peace & Governance

Global cooperation and resilient governance

How can people live and work together?

Start with the big picture. Open the sections below to see the evidence and future goals.

31/100Comparison scoreAn editorial model, not a scientific grade.
6Milestones to exploreA mix of capabilities and future goals.
3Linked measurementsOpen a measurement for its source and date.
Cooperative Index SCORE
31/100Index weight 10

Progress Scale progress

20% toward Level 2Dependency weight 13
REFERENCE MEASURE

65 · Active state-based conflicts
highest since 1946

Steps toward the future

Explore the milestone ladder
  1. doneNo use of nuclear weapons in war since 1945LEVEL 2
  2. doneWarheads cut 83% from Cold War peak1986–2026LEVEL 2
  3. nextInterstate wars back to ~1 per yearcurrently 8LEVEL 2
  4. plannedFewer than 20 active conflictsLEVEL 3
  5. farNuclear weapons to zeroLEVEL 4
  6. farUnited Earth governmentSpeculative endpoint; no forecast dateLEVEL 4

Debt & future budgets

Explore how sovereign borrowing costs affect the capacity to invest in future progress.

Open the fiscal scenario model →

Economic conditions for progress

Explore IMF findings on fiscal pressure, AI investment, trade and digital-finance risk.

Read the 2026 IMF research brief ↗

Human dimensions

Meaning & spirituality ↗ · Knowledge, heritage & community ↗

Related measures within Humanity.

POSSIBLE ROUTE FORWARD

Action path

2027–2035Editorial horizon
TARGET

Level 2: zero interstate wars; warheads below 5,000

Explore the possible steps

Possible steps

  1. End the largest war: Russia–Ukraine is ~62% of battle deaths
  2. Rebuild arms control: a US–Russia cap and a first framework including China
  3. Coalitions with teeth on specific problems (fusion, pandemics, AI verification)
  4. Interdependence deep enough that war is unaffordable
THE CRUX · DECISION POINT

Whether general AI arrives into a world that has built verification and coordination capacity, or one that has not

IF THE MAINLINE STALLS

Unconventional levers: AI-assisted verification and satellite monitoring, conflict early-warning markets

What to watch

UCDP interstate conflict count; SIPRI deployed warheads; states party to any new arms-control instrument

Related snapshot measures

These are the available measures in the supplied dataset; they may be proxies for the leading indicators above.

Unlocks

The critical path. Moving Peace from 0.20 to 0.40 lifts F more than finishing AI.

A scenario from the supplied handoff, not a prediction or professional advice.

Sourced indicators / 3

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Reported fact

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Model or score

A way to compare things using chosen rules. Different rules can give different scores.

Future goal or scenario

Something we hope to achieve, or imagine might happen. It is not a measured fact.

Milestone
An important step toward a goal.
Indicator
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Dependency
Something that may need help from something else.
Biodiversity
The variety of living things.
GW
Gigawatts: a unit of power. Capacity is what equipment can produce at its rated output.
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