Peace & Governance
Durable institutions and long-term societal resilience
How can people live and work together?
Start with the big picture. Open the sections below to see the evidence and future goals.
Steps toward the future
Explore the milestone ladder
- doneCooperativeNo use of nuclear weapons in war since 1945LEVEL 2
- doneCooperativeWarheads cut 83% from Cold War peak1986–2026LEVEL 2
- nextCooperativeInterstate wars back to ~1 per yearcurrently 8LEVEL 2
- plannedCooperativeFewer than 20 active conflictsLEVEL 3
- farCooperativeNuclear weapons to zeroLEVEL 4
- farCooperativeUnited Earth governmentSpeculative endpoint; no forecast dateLEVEL 4
- farGalacticUnited EarthCooperative barLEVEL 4
- farGalacticA polity stable for a thousand yearsLEVEL 4
- farGalacticGalaxy-scale institutions and recovery planningLEVEL 4
Human dimensions
Meaning & spirituality ↗ · Knowledge, heritage & community ↗
Related measures within Humanity.
Action path
This near-term path is shared with the corresponding Cooperative track.
Level 2: zero interstate wars; warheads below 5,000
Explore the possible steps
Possible steps
- End the largest war: Russia–Ukraine is ~62% of battle deaths
- Rebuild arms control: a US–Russia cap and a first framework including China
- Coalitions with teeth on specific problems (fusion, pandemics, AI verification)
- Interdependence deep enough that war is unaffordable
Whether general AI arrives into a world that has built verification and coordination capacity, or one that has not
Unconventional levers: AI-assisted verification and satellite monitoring, conflict early-warning markets
What to watch
UCDP interstate conflict count; SIPRI deployed warheads; states party to any new arms-control instrument
Related snapshot measures
These are the available measures in the supplied dataset; they may be proxies for the leading indicators above.
Unlocks
The critical path. Moving Peace from 0.20 to 0.40 lifts F more than finishing AI.
A scenario from the supplied handoff, not a prediction or professional advice.
New here? What the labels mean
Reported fact
A number from a named source. Check when, where and what it measures.
Model or score
A way to compare things using chosen rules. Different rules can give different scores.
Future goal or scenario
Something we hope to achieve, or imagine might happen. It is not a measured fact.
- Milestone
- An important step toward a goal.
- Indicator
- A measurement that helps us understand something.
- Dependency
- Something that may need help from something else.
- Biodiversity
- The variety of living things.
- GW
- Gigawatts: a unit of power. Capacity is what equipment can produce at its rated output.