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How do money and trade help people?

Start with the big picture. Open the sections below to see the evidence and future goals.

65/100Comparison scoreAn editorial model, not a scientific grade.
15Milestones to exploreA mix of capabilities and future goals.
17Linked measurementsOpen a measurement for its source and date.
Cooperative Index SCORE
65/100Index weight 5

Progress Scale progress

65% toward Level 2Dependency weight 8
Tailwind: AI, HumanityHeadwind: Peace
REFERENCE MEASURE

11 / 28 · FSB jurisdictions with finalised crypto frameworks
stablecoin frameworks: 5 / 28 (FSB peer review, Oct 2025)

Steps toward the future

Explore the milestone ladder
  1. doneBitcoin genesis block2009LEVEL 2
  2. doneEU MiCA fully in force; HK and UAE stablecoin regimes live2024–26LEVEL 2
  3. doneBasel SCO60 crypto capital standard in forceJan 2026LEVEL 2
  4. doneJoint SEC–CFTC crypto taxonomy and MOUMar 2026LEVEL 2
  5. nextUS stablecoin law with final rules (GENIUS: 0 of 5 final)effective Jan 2027LEVEL 2
  6. nextDTC tokenized settlement in full productionOct 2026LEVEL 2
  7. nextRemittance cost below 3% (SDG 10.c)6.36% todayLEVEL 2
  8. plannedEMDE clean-energy cost-of-capital gap halved> 2× todayLEVEL 3
  9. nextMajority of FSB jurisdictions with finalised frameworks (11 of 28)LEVEL 2
  10. plannedUS market-structure law enacted (CLARITY)Senate cloture failed Sep 2026LEVEL 3
  11. plannedAgentic payments at scale on stablecoin railsLEVEL 3
  12. plannedUnbanked adults below 500 million1.3B todayLEVEL 3
  13. farStablecoin volume passes card networks; tokenized RWA > $1TLEVEL 4
  14. farPatient-capital layer funds decade-horizon science at $1.6T/yr scale; cost-of-capital parityLEVEL 4
  15. farUnified ledger: atomic global settlement, programmable money by defaultLEVEL 4

Debt & future budgets

Explore how sovereign borrowing costs affect the capacity to invest in future progress.

Open the fiscal scenario model →

Economic conditions for progress

Explore IMF findings on fiscal pressure, AI investment, trade and digital-finance risk.

Read the 2026 IMF research brief ↗
POSSIBLE ROUTE FORWARD

Action path

2026–2028Editorial horizon
TARGET

Level 2: final US rules; CSD tokenization in production; FSB majority; market-structure law

Explore the possible steps

Possible steps

  1. GENIUS rules final before Jan 18, 2027
  2. DTC tokenization full launch (Oct 2026)
  3. FSB count crosses 14 of 28 as MiCA, UK, Japan regimes bite
  4. CLARITY returns in a new Congress
  5. Stablecoin rails cut remittance cost toward 3% and bank the next 500M
  6. Blended and patient capital halves the EMDE cost-of-capital gap; the $1.6T/yr clean build-out gets financed
THE CRUX · DECISION POINT

One settlement layer (a unified ledger) versus fragmented national tokenized systems

IF THE MAINLINE STALLS

Without a US market-structure law, the EU and Asia set the template; US adoption routes through banks and ETPs

What to watch

Final rules count; tokenized RWA outstanding; agentic payment volume; remittance cost; unbanked adults

Related snapshot measures

These are the available measures in the supplied dataset; they may be proxies for the leading indicators above.

A scenario from the supplied handoff, not a prediction or professional advice.

Sourced indicators / 17

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Reported fact

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Model or score

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Future goal or scenario

Something we hope to achieve, or imagine might happen. It is not a measured fact.

Milestone
An important step toward a goal.
Indicator
A measurement that helps us understand something.
Dependency
Something that may need help from something else.
Biodiversity
The variety of living things.
GW
Gigawatts: a unit of power. Capacity is what equipment can produce at its rated output.