Progress model bottlenecks
Try a “what if?”
Change an imagined amount of progress and see how the model responds. The real world and the source data do not change.
What moves the score?
Apply the same next-level progress increase to each domain and compare the model’s response. Starting Progress Scale: 1.39 / 5.
| Domain | Starting progress | Progress Scale gain | Explore |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peace & Governance | 20% → 40% | +0.102 | |
| Robotics & Automation | 30% → 50% | +0.014 | |
| Energy & Kardashev | 45% → 65% | +0.012 | |
| Medicine & Longevity | 55% → 75% | +0.009 | |
| Quantum & Frontier Physics | 40% → 60% | +0.008 | |
| Connected Humanity | 60% → 80% | +0.008 | |
| Money & Capital | 65% → 85% | +0.007 | |
| Artificial Intelligence | 75% → 95% | +0.006 | |
| Spaceflight | 50% → 70% | +0.003 |
A sensitivity ranking, not a recommendation of where to spend money. It does not account for feasibility, cost, time, uncertainty or real-world causal effects. Progress is capped at 100%; all other domains and achieved levels stay fixed. The 0–100 indexes are unchanged.
New here? What the labels mean
Reported fact
A number from a named source. Check when, where and what it measures.
Model or score
A way to compare things using chosen rules. Different rules can give different scores.
Future goal or scenario
Something we hope to achieve, or imagine might happen. It is not a measured fact.
- Milestone
- An important step toward a goal.
- Indicator
- A measurement that helps us understand something.
- Dependency
- Something that may need help from something else.
- Biodiversity
- The variety of living things.
- GW
- Gigawatts: a unit of power. Capacity is what equipment can produce at its rated output.