Trade, Money & Capital
Traders and Merchant Princes; trade as soft power
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Start with the big picture. Open the sections below to see the evidence and future goals.
≈58% · World trade as share of GDP
Trade and interdependence across societies
Steps toward the future
Explore the milestone ladder
- doneGlobal trade above half of world outputLEVEL 2
- nowRegulated stablecoins and tokenized settlementLEVEL 2
- farA neutral global unit of accountLEVEL 4
- farTrade dependence as the primary instrument of powerLEVEL 4
Debt & future budgets
Explore how sovereign borrowing costs affect the capacity to invest in future progress.
Open the fiscal scenario model →Action path
This near-term path is shared with the corresponding Cooperative track.
Level 2: final US rules; CSD tokenization in production; FSB majority; market-structure law
Explore the possible steps
Possible steps
- GENIUS rules final before Jan 18, 2027
- DTC tokenization full launch (Oct 2026)
- FSB count crosses 14 of 28 as MiCA, UK, Japan regimes bite
- CLARITY returns in a new Congress
- Stablecoin rails cut remittance cost toward 3% and bank the next 500M
- Blended and patient capital halves the EMDE cost-of-capital gap; the $1.6T/yr clean build-out gets financed
One settlement layer (a unified ledger) versus fragmented national tokenized systems
Without a US market-structure law, the EU and Asia set the template; US adoption routes through banks and ETPs
What to watch
Final rules count; tokenized RWA outstanding; agentic payment volume; remittance cost; unbanked adults
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