Quantum & Frontier Physics
Speculative transport, advanced computation and neural interfaces
What can we learn about matter and energy?
Start with the big picture. Open the sections below to see the evidence and future goals.
Steps toward the future
Explore the milestone ladder
- doneCooperativeQuantum error correction below threshold (Google Willow)Dec 2024LEVEL 2
- doneCooperative~100 logical qubits2026LEVEL 2
- nextCooperativeFirst fault-tolerant module (IBM Kookaburra)2026LEVEL 2
- plannedCooperative200 logical qubits, 100M gates (IBM Starling)2029LEVEL 3
- farCooperativeRoom-temperature superconductornone verifiedLEVEL 4
- farCooperativeSpeculative matter transportphysics unclearLEVEL 4
- farGalacticTwo-way brain interfacesLEVEL 4
- farGalacticSpeculative faster-than-light transportLEVEL 4
- farGalacticMentalic scienceLEVEL 4
Action path
This near-term path is shared with the corresponding Cooperative track.
Level 2: first fault-tolerant module
Explore the possible steps
Possible steps
- IBM Kookaburra module (2026)
- Neutral-atom and trapped-ion systems reach hundreds of error-corrected qubits
- IBM Starling: 200 logical qubits (2029)
- First quantum advantage on a chemistry problem
A useful problem solved with error-corrected qubits that classical machines cannot match
A decoder or materials breakthrough shortens the roadmap; otherwise this track follows published roadmaps closely
What to watch
Logical qubit count with error rate; first published chemistry advantage
Related snapshot measures
These are the available measures in the supplied dataset; they may be proxies for the leading indicators above.
A scenario from the supplied handoff, not a prediction or professional advice.
New here? What the labels mean
Reported fact
A number from a named source. Check when, where and what it measures.
Model or score
A way to compare things using chosen rules. Different rules can give different scores.
Future goal or scenario
Something we hope to achieve, or imagine might happen. It is not a measured fact.
- Milestone
- An important step toward a goal.
- Indicator
- A measurement that helps us understand something.
- Dependency
- Something that may need help from something else.
- Biodiversity
- The variety of living things.
- GW
- Gigawatts: a unit of power. Capacity is what equipment can produce at its rated output.